Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005253 0.005804 0.006375 0.007008 0.007691 0.008403 0.009202
2024-12-29 0.004494 0.005296 0.006168 0.007182 0.008325 0.009569 0.011020
2025-01-05 0.004047 0.004998 0.006069 0.007355 0.008850 0.010525 0.012532
2025-01-12 0.003529 0.004547 0.005729 0.007191 0.008936 0.010938 0.013394
2025-01-19 0.003174 0.004246 0.005526 0.007149 0.009131 0.011451 0.014353
2025-01-26 0.002845 0.003944 0.005291 0.007039 0.009219 0.011820 0.015128
2025-02-02 0.002603 0.003729 0.005143 0.007016 0.009397 0.012285 0.016012
2025-02-09 0.002386 0.003528 0.004996 0.006978 0.009542 0.012701 0.016834
2025-02-16 0.002273 0.003455 0.005003 0.007132 0.009927 0.013415 0.018033
2025-02-23 0.002081 0.003260 0.004839 0.007047 0.009995 0.013724 0.018722
2025-03-02 0.001944 0.003132 0.004752 0.007059 0.010182 0.014181 0.019600
2025-03-09 0.001897 0.003127 0.004833 0.007295 0.010667 0.015029 0.020992
2025-03-16 0.001796 0.003041 0.004802 0.007382 0.010963 0.015648 0.022114
2025-03-23 0.001731 0.003005 0.004838 0.007562 0.011388 0.016446 0.023488
2025-03-30 0.001672 0.002973 0.004876 0.007742 0.011815 0.017251 0.024882
2025-04-06 0.001519 0.002785 0.004675 0.007571 0.011746 0.017383 0.025377
2025-04-13 0.001413 0.002663 0.004566 0.007527 0.011849 0.017745 0.026183
2025-04-20 0.001299 0.002520 0.004416 0.007413 0.011846 0.017958 0.026785
2025-04-27 0.001215 0.002421 0.004329 0.007389 0.011968 0.018342 0.027623
2025-05-04 0.001134 0.002322 0.004236 0.007349 0.012062 0.018686 0.028408
2025-05-11 0.001102 0.002306 0.004273 0.007509 0.012454 0.019453 0.029790
2025-05-18 0.001020 0.002196 0.004154 0.007421 0.012472 0.019689 0.030430
2025-05-25 0.000964 0.002129 0.004101 0.007434 0.012638 0.020136 0.031371